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Japan Trade Balance Turned Negative For First Time In Seven Years

admin-augaf by admin-augaf
July 31, 2023
in Business, Finance
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Japan’s GDP shrinks as surging costs raise spectre of deeper downturn
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Tokyo July 31 2023: The current account surplus decreased to 11.5 trillion yen in 2022 from 21.5 trillion yen in 2021. The decrease reflects the fact that although the surplus on primary income increased, the goods balance turned to a deficit for the first time in seven years and the deficit on services increased.

Looking at the breakdown, the goods balance turned to a deficit, reflecting the fact that although exports increased owing to the recovery in overseas economies, imports rose even more due to such factors as the surge in raw material prices. The deficit on services increased as the deficit on other business services rose, although the surplus on travel increased, albeit slightly. On the other hand, the surplus on primary income widened, mainly due to a rise in the surplus on direct investment income.

Japan’s travel receipts have been on an increasing trend since autumn 2022 following the relaxation of travel restrictions. Comparing travel receipts by purpose of travel for selected economies shows that the COVID-19 pandemic had a differential impact on tourism and education-related travel. With respect to direct investment income receipts by region and industry, it was investments in the mining industry in Oceania and in the manufacturing sector in Asia that made the largest contributions to the overall increase in receipts from 2021 to 2022.

Reflecting the surplus on the current account, the financial account registered net lending, which, however, decreased to 6.5 trillion yen in 2022 from 16.8 trillion yen in 2021. Looking at the breakdown, direct investment registered net lending, while portfolio investment registered net borrowing.

Looking at developments in direct investment in 2022 classified by type of investment, for direct investment assets, the share of investment for the extension of capital for the expansion of overseas business operations increased. Meanwhile, with respect to direct investment liabilities, the share of merger and acquisition (M&A) type transactions continued to account for a significant share (see Appendix 3). A look at portfolio investment assets in terms of the International Transactions in Securities statistics in addition to the balance of payments (BOP) statistics indicates that sales of long-term debt securities due to the rise in FX-hedging costs and other factors spread to investors other than those designated as major investors.

Looking at Japan’s BOP in 2022 in terms of money flows, net lending (outflows) under other investment was more or less unchanged from 2021, reflecting the fact that while (1) the current account surplus, which gives rise to money inflows, decreased and (2) portfolio investment liabilities shifted to net sales (outflows), (3) net sales (inflows) under portfolio investment assets increased.

Japan’s net asset position marked a record high, rising to 418.6 trillion yen at year-end 2022 from 417.9 trillion yen at year-end 2021. This reflects an increase in the yen value of foreign currency-denominated assets due to the yen’s depreciation. Among major economies, Japan at year-end 2022 continued to record the largest net asset position.

In relation to statistical standards, international discussions on many different issues have been taking place in preparation for the updating of the International Monetary Fund (IMF)’s Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual (BPM) scheduled for 2025. One of the major issues being addressed in the ongoing discussions is the recording of crypto assets.

Tags: Japan
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